Presidential Elections through 2004

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U.S. Presidential Elections, 1928-2004
Russell D. Renka

Winners are blue for Democrats, red for Republicans.

Presidential Election Year	Major Candidates	Candidate's % of national popular vote	Candidate's Electoral College vote	Electoral College Winner	Winner's % of Electoral College	Winner's % of College minus % of national popular vote
1928	Hoover - R	58.2	444	Hoover - R	83.6	+25.4
	Smith - D	40.8	87
1932	Hoover - R	39.6	59
	Roosevelt - D	57.3	472	Roosevelt - D	88.9	+31.6
1936	Roosevelt - D	60.7	523	Roosevelt - D	98.5	+37.8
	Landon - R	36.4	8
1940	Roosevelt - D	54.7	449	Roosevelt - D	84.6	+29.9
	Wilkie - R	44.8	82
1944	Roosevelt - D	52.8	432	Roosevelt - D	81.4	+28.6
	Dewey - R	44.5	99
1948	Truman - D	49.5	303	Truman - D	57.1	+7.6
	Dewey - R	45.1	189
	Thurmond - Dix	2.4	39
1952	Eisenhower - R	55.2	442	Eisenhower - R	83.2	+28.0
	Stevenson - D	44.5	89
1956	Eisenhower - R	57.4	457	Eisenhower - R	86.1	+28.7
	Stevenson - D	42.0	73
1960	Nixon - R	49.6	219
	Kennedy - D	49.7	303	Kennedy - D	56.4	+6.7
1964	Johnson - D	61.1	486	Johnson - D	90.3	+29.2
	Goldwater - R	38.5	52
1968	Humphrey - D	42.7	191
	Nixon - R	43.4	301	Nixon - R	55.9	+12.5
	Wallace - I	13.5	46
1972	Nixon - R	61.3	520	Nixon - R	96.6	+35.3
	McGovern - D	37.3	17
1976	Ford - R	48.0	240
	Carter - D	50.1	297	Carter - D	55.2	+5.1
1980	Carter - D	41.0	49
	Reagan - R	50.7	489	Reagan - R	90.9	+40.2
	Anderson - I	6.6	0
1984	Reagan - R	58.8	525	Reagan - R	97.6	+38.8
	Mondale - D	40.6	13
1988	Bush - R	53.4	426	Bush - R	79.2	+25.8
	Dukakis - D	45.6	111
1992	Bush - R	37.4	168
	Clinton - D	43.0	370	Clinton - D	68.8	+25.8
	Perot - I	18.9	0
1996	Clinton - D	49.2	379	Clinton - D	70.4	+21.2
	Dole - R	40.8	159
	Perot - I	8.5	0
2000	Bush - R	47.9	271	Bush - R	50.4	-2.5
	Gore - D	48.4	266
2004	Bush - R	51.0	286	Bush - R	53.2	+2.2
	Kerry - D	48.0	252
Averages for 20 elections of 1928-2004:		Winner's % of national popular vote:	*Winner's average EC if EC had 538 votes:		Winner's % of Electoral College	Winner's EC - national popular vote:
		53.28	411.25		76.44	+23.16

* The Electoral College currently has 538 votes. That figure has remained the same since the modern presidency began in 1932, except for the 1960 election. At that time a temporary adjustment to 537 votes was made to accommodate the 1958 statehood of Alaska and Hawaii.

Analysis is mine; data check in tabular and map-based forms is at Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.

Comments? Contact Russell Renka.

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September 06, 2007 09:38 AM