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U.S. Presidential Elections, 1928-2008
Russell D. Renka

Winners are blue for Democrats, red for Republicans.

Presidential Election Year Major Candidates Candidate's % of national popular  vote Candidate's Electoral College vote Electoral College Winner Winner's % of Electoral College Winner's % of College minus % of national popular vote
1928 Hoover - R 58.2 444 Hoover - R 83.6 +25.4
Smith - D 40.8 87
1932 Hoover - R 39.6 59
Roosevelt - D 57.3 472 Roosevelt - D 88.9 +31.6
1936 Roosevelt - D 60.7 523 Roosevelt - D 98.5 +37.8
Landon - R 36.4 8
1940 Roosevelt - D 54.7 449 Roosevelt - D 84.6 +29.9
Wilkie - R 44.8 82
1944 Roosevelt - D 52.8 432 Roosevelt - D 81.4 +28.6
Dewey - R 44.5 99
1948 Truman - D 49.5 303 Truman - D 57.1 +7.6
Dewey - R 45.1 189
Thurmond - Dix 2.4 39
1952 Eisenhower - R 55.2 442 Eisenhower - R 83.2 +28.0
Stevenson - D 44.5 89
1956 Eisenhower - R 57.4 457 Eisenhower - R 86.1 +28.7
Stevenson - D 42.0 73
1960 Nixon - R 49.6 219
Kennedy - D 49.7 303 Kennedy - D 56.4 +6.7
1964 Johnson - D 61.1 486 Johnson - D 90.3 +29.2
Goldwater - R 38.5 52
1968 Humphrey - D 42.7 191
Nixon - R 43.4 301 Nixon - R 55.9 +12.5
Wallace - I 13.5 46
1972 Nixon - R 61.3 520 Nixon - R 96.6 +35.3
McGovern - D 37.3 17
1976 Ford - R 48.0 240
Carter - D 50.1 297 Carter - D 55.2 +5.1
1980 Carter - D 41.0 49
Reagan - R 50.7 489 Reagan - R 90.9 +40.2
Anderson - I 6.6 0
1984 Reagan - R 58.8 525 Reagan - R 97.6 +38.8
Mondale - D 40.6 13
1988 Bush - R 53.4 426 Bush - R 79.2 +25.8
Dukakis - D 45.6 111
1992 Bush - R 37.4 168
Clinton - D 43.0 370 Clinton - D 68.8 +25.8
Perot - I 18.9 0
1996 Clinton - D 49.2 379 Clinton - D 70.4 +21.2
Dole - R 40.8 159
Perot - I 8.5 0
2000 Bush - R 47.9 271 Bush - R 50.4 -2.5
Gore - D 48.4 266
2004 Bush - R 51.0 286 Bush - R 53.2 +2.2
Kerry - D 48.0 252
2008 Obama - D 52.7 365 Obama - D 67.8 +15.1
McCain - R 46.0 173
Averages for 21 elections of 1928-2008:   Winner's % of national popular vote: *Winner's average EC if
EC had 538 votes:
Winner's % of  Electoral College Winner's EC -  national popular vote:
  53.25 409.05 76.03 +22.78

*  The Electoral College currently has 538 votes.  That figure has remained the same since the modern presidency began in 1932, except for the 1960 election.  At that time a temporary adjustment to 537 votes was made to accommodate the 1958 statehood of Alaska and Hawaii.

Analysis is mine; data check in tabular and map-based forms is at Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.

Comments? Contact Russell Renka.

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Copyrightę2001-2010, Russell D. Renka

January 13, 2010 01:52 PM